System 1 Torchcast Decision
Decide.
In a flash.
Milliseconds. One model call.
Every option scored, ready for the next move.
The decision layer
Intelligence, at two speeds.
Decide.
System 2 Forecasting system
Go deep.
Then decide.
Deep research for high-stakes decisions. Evidence examined. Assumptions challenged.
Reality grades both.
Torchcast Decision — System 1: judgment in the moment
Scene 1: Survival
Sense.
Respond.
A threat is partly hidden.
Inside Torchcast
What’s INSIDE a forecast?
01 / Evidence
Find the signal.
Primary sources, base rates and counter-evidence. Organized before they are interpreted.
Fine-Tuned Multi-Agent
Put every claim to the test.
Independent perspectives test the same evidence. Claims are challenged before they shape a forecast.
RL Post-Trained LLM
Make uncertainty explicit.
Forecast-trained models turn scrutinized evidence into calibrated probabilities.
Evidence → Reasoning → Probability
One connected system.
Evidence, independent scrutiny and calibrated probability. Each stage strengthens the next.
FORECASTING FOUNDATION MODELA forecast.
A forecast.
A map.
In progress.
Learning to judge a world we only partly see.
Unexplored
Want to see Torchcast live?
Uncertainty is expensive. We make it measurable.
Calibrated probabilities for institutions and AI agents. If your team makes high-stakes decisions under uncertainty, we should talk.
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